Kochi Unitedvs
V-varen Nagasaki
0 - 1Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 62.1%
- Market said
- 47.8%
- Edge
- +14.3 pts
- Best odds
- 2.09
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.09
The market underrated this by 14.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Kochi United
V-varen Nagasaki
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- -12.2
- Odds
- 1.11
Draw No Bet
V-varen Nagasaki (DNB)
- Edge
- -11.8
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +14.3
- Odds
- 2.09
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +6.3
- Odds
- 1.93
Match Winner
V-varen Nagasaki Win
- Edge
- -20.9
- Odds
- 1.55
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -2.5
- Odds
- 5.33
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
16.3% · actual
0-0
16.6%
1-1
14.2%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.