Ekstraklasa badgeEkstraklasa · 22 August 2026AI PICK

Korona Kielce badgeKorona KielcevsMotor Lublin badgeMotor Lublin

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
56.0%
Edge
+2.4 pts
Best odds
1.72

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.72

MediumEdge +2.4%
Our model58.4%
The market56.0%

The market underrated this by 2.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Korona Kielce badge

Korona Kielce

Attack41
Defence100
Form58
Motor Lublin badge

Motor Lublin

Attack90
Defence60
Form73

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.6%
Our model88.0%
The market79.4%
Edge
+8.6
Odds
1.26

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.4%Close
Our model58.4%
The market56.0%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
1.72

Draw No Bet

Korona Kielce (DNB)

Void
Our model54.3%
The market64.9%
Edge
-10.6
Odds
1.54

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.7%
The market59.9%
Edge
-7.2
Odds
1.61

Match Winner

Korona Kielce Win

Miss
Our model47.8%
The market55.6%
Edge
-7.8
Odds
1.80

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.60

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.1%

1-1

7.9% · actual

1-3

7.8%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.