Ekstraklasa badgeEkstraklasa · 15 May 2026AI PICK

Korona Kielce badgeKorona KielcevsWidzew Łódź badgeWidzew Łódź

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.3%
Market said
56.8%
Edge
+6.5 pts
Best odds
1.76

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.76

MediumEdge +6.5%
Our model63.3%
The market56.8%

The market underrated this by 6.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Korona Kielce badge

Korona Kielce

Attack44
Defence49
Form36
Widzew Łódź badge

Widzew Łódź

Attack34
Defence86
Form45

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.2%
Our model85.0%
The market75.8%
Edge
+9.2
Odds
1.32

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.5%Correct
Our model63.3%
The market56.8%
Edge
+6.5
Odds
1.76

Match Winner

Korona Kielce Win

Edge +15.7%Correct
Our model56.5%
The market40.8%
Edge
+15.7
Odds
2.45

Draw No Bet

Korona Kielce (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model47.4%
The market56.8%
Edge
-9.4
Odds
1.76

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.1%Correct
Our model16.3%
The market14.2%
Edge
+2.1
Odds
7.03

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

16.3% · actual

0-1

11.9%

1-1

11.0%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.