Premier League badgePremier League · 8 August 2026AI PICK

Krylia Sovetov badgeKrylia SovetovvsBaltika badgeBaltika

0 - 2
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.7%
Market said
40.4%
Edge
+15.3 pts
Best odds
2.43

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.43

MediumEdge +15.3%
Our model55.7%
The market40.4%

The market underrated this by 15.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Krylia Sovetov badge

Krylia Sovetov

Attack48
Defence52
Form39
Baltika badge

Baltika

Attack65
Defence100
Form77

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.8%Correct
Our model72.7%
The market71.9%
Edge
+0.8
Odds
1.39

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +15.3%Close
Our model55.7%
The market40.4%
Edge
+15.3
Odds
2.43

Draw No Bet

Baltika (DNB)

Correct
Our model55.6%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.1%Miss
Our model55.4%
The market49.3%
Edge
+6.1
Odds
1.95

Match Winner

Baltika Win

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model43.3%
The market40.3%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
2.48

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Close
Our model8.5%
The market9.7%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.29

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.5%

1-1

9.1%

2-2

7.2%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.