Premier League badgePremier League · 1 May 2026AI PICK

Krylia Sovetov badgeKrylia SovetovvsSpartak Moscow badgeSpartak Moscow

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.9%
Market said
56.2%
Edge
+2.7 pts
Best odds
1.78

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.78

MediumEdge +2.7%
Our model58.9%
The market56.2%

The market underrated this by 2.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Krylia Sovetov badge

Krylia Sovetov

Attack39
Defence32
Form31
Spartak Moscow badge

Spartak Moscow

Attack71
Defence40
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.6%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market79.4%
Edge
+5.6
Odds
1.26

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.7%Correct
Our model58.9%
The market56.2%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
1.78

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.3%Correct
Our model55.1%
The market53.8%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
1.86

Match Winner

Spartak Moscow Win

Miss
Our model44.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
-5.4
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Spartak Moscow (DNB)

Miss
Our model43.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-14.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.