La Luzvs
Paysandu
1 - 2Full time · 0 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 75.7%
- Market said
- 63.7%
- Edge
- +12.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.57
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57
The market underrated this by 12.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
La Luz
Paysandu
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
0 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +8.1
- Odds
- 1.30
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +12.0
- Odds
- 1.57
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +8.8
- Odds
- 1.85
Match Winner
La Luz Win
- Edge
- +13.9
- Odds
- 2.15
Draw No Bet
La Luz (DNB)
- Edge
- -5.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +2.4
- Odds
- 6.25
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
18.4%
0-1
16.6%
0-0
16.3%
We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.