Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 13 July 2026AI PICK

La Luz badgeLa LuzvsTacuarembo badgeTacuarembo

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.0%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+9.4 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +9.4%
Our model62.0%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 9.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

La Luz badge

La Luz

Attack32
Defence63
Form38
Tacuarembo badge

Tacuarembo

Attack38
Defence52
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +10.5%Miss
Our model74.2%
The market63.7%
Edge
+10.5
Odds
1.57

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.4%Correct
Our model62.0%
The market52.6%
Edge
+9.4
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +3.9%Correct
Our model58.0%
The market54.1%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Draw

Edge +5.4%Miss
Our model39.9%
The market34.5%
Edge
+5.4
Odds
2.90

Correct Score

Score: 0-0

Miss
Our model20.0%
The market23.0%
Edge
-3.0
Odds
4.35

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-0

20.0%

1-1

14.9%

0-1

14.7%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.