Serie D badgeSerie D · 21 June 2026AI PICK

Lagarto badgeLagartovsCSA badgeCSA

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
78.5%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+28.5 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00

High confidenceEdge +28.5%
Our model78.5%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 28.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Lagarto badge

Lagarto

Attack58
Defence39
Form45
CSA badge

CSA

Attack100
Defence74
Form79

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +28.5%Close
Our model78.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
+28.5
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +12.3%Correct
Our model67.9%
The market55.6%
Edge
+12.3
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

CSA (DNB)

Our model46.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-11.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

CSA Win

Our model30.0%
The market47.6%
Edge
-17.6
Odds
2.10

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.