Serie D badgeSerie D · 18 April 2026AI PICK

Lagarto badgeLagartovsRetrô badgeRetrô

1 - 2
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.6%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+17.6 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Lagarto Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +17.6%
Our model67.6%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 17.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Lagarto badge

Lagarto

Attack78
Defence44
Form56
Retrô badge

Retrô

Attack45
Defence44
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Match Winner

Lagarto Win

Edge +17.6%Miss
Our model67.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+17.6
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Lagarto (DNB)

Edge +3.9%Miss
Our model61.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.9%Correct
Our model60.0%
The market54.1%
Edge
+5.9
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.8%Correct
Our model59.4%
The market52.6%
Edge
+6.8
Odds
1.90

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.