Serie D · 2 May 2026AI PICK
Lagartovs
Serra Branca
1 - 2Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 63.7%
- Market said
- 52.6%
- Edge
- +11.1 pts
- Best odds
- 1.90
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90
The market underrated this by 11.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Lagarto
Serra Branca
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +13.6
- Odds
- 1.40
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +11.1
- Odds
- 1.90
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +9.4
- Odds
- 1.85
Draw No Bet
Lagarto (DNB)
- Edge
- -2.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Lagarto Win
- Edge
- -4.9
- Odds
- 2.00
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.