Serie D badgeSerie D · 10 May 2026AI PICK

Laguna badgeLagunavsSousa badgeSousa

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.2%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+4.6 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +4.6%
Our model60.2%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 4.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Laguna badge

Laguna

Attack39
Defence30
Form16
Sousa badge

Sousa

Attack41
Defence46
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +4.6%Correct
Our model60.2%
The market55.6%
Edge
+4.6
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

Laguna (DNB)

Miss
Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Laguna Win

Miss
Our model49.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
-0.6
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.2%Miss
Our model17.0%
The market14.8%
Edge
+2.2
Odds
6.77

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

17.0%

0-1

15.5% · actual

0-0

12.9%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.