Veikkausliiga badgeVeikkausliiga · 10 May 2026AI PICK

Lahti badgeLahtivsMariehamn badgeMariehamn

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.6%
Market said
48.1%
Edge
+17.5 pts
Best odds
2.08

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.08

MediumEdge +17.5%
Our model65.6%
The market48.1%

The market underrated this by 17.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Lahti badge

Lahti

Attack68
Defence46
Form53
Mariehamn badge

Mariehamn

Attack67
Defence45
Form43

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +17.5%Close
Our model65.6%
The market48.1%
Edge
+17.5
Odds
2.08

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +13.6%Correct
Our model64.9%
The market51.3%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.95

Match Winner

Lahti Win

Edge +5.8%Miss
Our model55.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
+5.8
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Lahti (DNB)

Void
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.2%
Our model8.7%
The market7.5%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
13.29

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.7%

1-1

8.2% · actual

1-2

7.7%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.