UEFA Champions League badgeUEFA Champions League · 21 July 2026AI PICK

Larne badgeLarnevsFK Crvena Zvezda badgeFK Crvena Zvezda

0 - 4
Miss

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.7%
Market said
38.2%
Edge
+19.5 pts
Best odds
2.62

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.62

MediumEdge +19.5%
Our model57.7%
The market38.2%

The market underrated this by 19.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Larne badge

Larne

Attack40
Defence100
Form87
FK Crvena Zvezda badge

FK Crvena Zvezda

Attack74
Defence62
Form63

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Correct
Our model74.2%
The market99.0%
Edge
-24.8
Odds
1.01

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +19.5%Miss
Our model57.7%
The market38.2%
Edge
+19.5
Odds
2.62

Draw No Bet

FK Crvena Zvezda (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model55.4%
The market66.7%
Edge
-11.3
Odds
1.50

Match Winner

FK Crvena Zvezda Win

Correct
Our model40.0%
The market89.3%
Edge
-49.3
Odds
1.12

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Close
Our model9.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.08

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.6%

1-1

9.8%

0-2

7.4%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.