UEFA Champions League badgeUEFA Champions League · 14 July 2026AI PICK

Larne badgeLarnevsTre Fiori badgeTre Fiori

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 0 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.9%
Market said
44.4%
Edge
+11.5 pts
Best odds
2.25

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.25

MediumEdge +11.5%
Our model55.9%
The market44.4%

The market underrated this by 11.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Larne badge

Larne

Attack33
Defence100
Form83
Tre Fiori badge

Tre Fiori

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 5 right, 1 close

Draw No Bet

Tre Fiori (DNB)

Edge +3.1%Miss
Our model60.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.5%Close
Our model55.9%
The market44.4%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
2.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model53.0%
The market66.7%
Edge
-13.7
Odds
1.50

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +25.0%Miss
Our model50.0%
The market25.0%
Edge
+25.0
Odds
4.00

Match Winner

Tre Fiori Win

Edge +32.2%Miss
Our model39.9%
The market7.7%
Edge
+32.2
Odds
13.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model10.3%
The market11.9%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
8.43

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

10.3%

1-1

15.0%

0-0

11.8%

We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.