Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 4 September 2026AI PICK

Las Palmas badgeLas PalmasvsLeganes badgeLeganes

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
52.4%
Edge
+2.2 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.90

LowEdge +2.2%
Our model54.6%
The market52.4%

The market underrated this by 2.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Las Palmas badge

Las Palmas

Attack69
Defence36
Form50
Leganes badge

Leganes

Attack46
Defence72
Form55

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model77.8%
The market84.0%
Edge
-6.2
Odds
1.19

Draw No Bet

Las Palmas (DNB)

Void
Our model69.9%
The market72.5%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.38

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.2%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market52.4%
Edge
+2.2
Odds
1.90

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.6%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market48.0%
Edge
+6.6
Odds
2.03

Match Winner

Las Palmas Win

Miss
Our model51.6%
The market54.3%
Edge
-2.7
Odds
1.84

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.8%
The market11.3%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.84

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.8%

1-1

12.3%

2-0

8.9%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.