Serie A badgeSerie A · 30 August 2026AI PICK

Lazio badgeLaziovsGenoa badgeGenoa

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.3%
Market said
48.3%
Edge
+17.0 pts
Best odds
2.07

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Lazio Win

Match Winner · best price 2.07

MediumEdge +17.0%
Our model65.3%
The market48.3%

The market underrated this by 17.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Lazio badge

Lazio

Attack100
Defence60
Form86
Genoa badge

Genoa

Attack60
Defence25
Form48

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +3.9%Correct
Our model83.9%
The market80.0%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
1.25

Draw No Bet

Lazio (DNB)

Edge +12.2%Correct
Our model80.2%
The market68.0%
Edge
+12.2
Odds
1.47

Match Winner

Lazio Win

Edge +17.0%Correct
Our model65.3%
The market48.3%
Edge
+17.0
Odds
2.07

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +22.0%Miss
Our model62.8%
The market40.8%
Edge
+22.0
Odds
2.47

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.2%Miss
Our model53.9%
The market47.7%
Edge
+6.2
Odds
2.06

Correct Score

Score: 3-1

Miss
Our model8.0%
The market9.3%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.81

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

3-1

8.0%

2-1

7.3%

4-1

6.6%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.