Primera División badgePrimera División · 6 September 2026AI PICK

LD Alajuelense badgeLD AlajuelensevsDeportivo Saprissa badgeDeportivo Saprissa

0 - 2
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Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.6%
Market said
53.2%
Edge
+5.4 pts
Best odds
1.88

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.88

MediumEdge +5.4%
Our model58.6%
The market53.2%

The market underrated this by 5.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

LD Alajuelense badge

LD Alajuelense

Attack63
Defence65
Form58
Deportivo Saprissa badge

Deportivo Saprissa

Attack83
Defence60
Form73

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model75.2%
The market75.8%
Edge
-0.6
Odds
1.32

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.4%Close
Our model58.6%
The market53.2%
Edge
+5.4
Odds
1.88

Draw No Bet

Deportivo Saprissa (DNB)

Edge +6.6%Correct
Our model57.4%
The market50.8%
Edge
+6.6
Odds
1.97

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model53.3%
The market60.2%
Edge
-6.9
Odds
1.66

Match Winner

Deportivo Saprissa Win

Edge +4.4%Correct
Our model43.2%
The market38.8%
Edge
+4.4
Odds
2.58

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Close
Our model8.5%
The market9.7%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.28

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.5%

1-1

9.6%

2-1

7.2%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.