Primera División badgePrimera División · 2 August 2026AI PICK

LD Alajuelense badgeLD AlajuelensevsEscorpiones Belén badgeEscorpiones Belén

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 0 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+1.2 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

LowEdge +1.2%
Our model53.8%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 1.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

LD Alajuelense badge

LD Alajuelense

Attack29
Defence64
Form22
Escorpiones Belén badge

Escorpiones Belén

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 5 right, 1 close

Draw No Bet

Escorpiones Belén (DNB)

Miss
Our model56.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.2%Close
Our model53.8%
The market52.6%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model53.1%
The market54.1%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.85

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Miss
Our model51.7%
The market71.4%
Edge
-19.7
Odds
1.40

Match Winner

Escorpiones Belén Win

Miss
Our model38.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
-11.6
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model10.3%
The market11.9%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
8.43

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

10.3%

1-1

15.0%

0-0

11.8%

We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.