Liga Pro badgeLiga Pro · 4 August 2026AI PICK

LDU de Quito badgeLDU de QuitovsDelfin SC badgeDelfin SC

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.4%
Market said
50.3%
Edge
+20.1 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

High confidenceEdge +20.1%
Our model70.4%
The market50.3%

The market underrated this by 20.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

LDU de Quito badge

LDU de Quito

Attack52
Defence68
Form51
Delfin SC badge

Delfin SC

Attack31
Defence48
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model80.8%
The market95.2%
Edge
-14.4
Odds
1.05

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +20.1%Close
Our model70.4%
The market50.3%
Edge
+20.1
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

LDU de Quito (DNB)

Edge +12.0%Correct
Our model69.1%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.0
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model57.2%
The market64.5%
Edge
-7.3
Odds
1.44

Match Winner

LDU de Quito Win

Correct
Our model51.8%
The market78.7%
Edge
-26.9
Odds
1.27

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model16.3%
The market18.8%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
5.33

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

16.3%

0-0

16.6%

1-1

14.2%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.