Liga Pro badgeLiga Pro · 24 August 2026AI PICK

LDU de Quito badgeLDU de QuitovsEmelec badgeEmelec

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
52.9%
Edge
+5.5 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +5.5%
Our model58.4%
The market52.9%

The market underrated this by 5.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

LDU de Quito badge

LDU de Quito

Attack42
Defence70
Form48
Emelec badge

Emelec

Attack40
Defence51
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model77.8%
The market90.9%
Edge
-13.1
Odds
1.10

Draw No Bet

LDU de Quito (DNB)

Correct
Our model69.3%
The market79.4%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.26

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.5%Correct
Our model58.4%
The market52.9%
Edge
+5.5
Odds
1.85

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Correct
Our model52.7%
The market54.8%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

LDU de Quito Win

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market64.5%
Edge
-14.5
Odds
1.55

Correct Score

Score: 0-0

Miss
Our model16.7%
The market19.2%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
5.20

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-0

16.7%

1-1

15.2%

1-0

13.2%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.