Liga Pro badgeLiga Pro · 2 May 2026AI PICK

LDU de Quito badgeLDU de QuitovsGuayaquil City FC badgeGuayaquil City FC

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.0%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+13.7 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +13.7%
Our model65.0%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 13.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

LDU de Quito badge

LDU de Quito

Attack54
Defence57
Form51
Guayaquil City FC badge

Guayaquil City FC

Attack47
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.7%Correct
Our model65.0%
The market51.3%
Edge
+13.7
Odds
1.95

Draw No Bet

LDU de Quito (DNB)

Correct
Our model54.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model46.5%
The market47.6%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
2.10

Match Winner

LDU de Quito Win

Correct
Our model46.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
-3.6
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.