Liga Pro badgeLiga Pro · 18 July 2026AI PICK

LDU de Quito badgeLDU de QuitovsLeones del Norte badgeLeones del Norte

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.8%
Market said
52.4%
Edge
+3.4 pts
Best odds
1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.91

MediumEdge +3.4%
Our model55.8%
The market52.4%

The market underrated this by 3.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

LDU de Quito badge

LDU de Quito

Attack50
Defence74
Form51
Leones del Norte badge

Leones del Norte

Attack56
Defence54
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 3 right

Draw No Bet

Leones del Norte (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.4%Correct
Our model55.8%
The market52.4%
Edge
+3.4
Odds
1.91

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.5%
Our model55.3%
The market47.8%
Edge
+7.5
Odds
2.09

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model51.7%
The market93.5%
Edge
-41.8
Odds
1.07

Match Winner

Leones del Norte Win

Edge +25.5%Correct
Our model39.9%
The market14.4%
Edge
+25.5
Odds
6.95

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Our model9.2%
The market10.6%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.46

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

9.2%

1-1

14.8%

0-0

10.8%

We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.