Copa Ecuador badgeCopa Ecuador · 30 July 2026AI PICK

LDU de Quito badgeLDU de QuitovsLeones del Norte badgeLeones del Norte

6 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.4%
Market said
46.1%
Edge
+11.3 pts
Best odds
2.17

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.17

MediumEdge +11.3%
Our model57.4%
The market46.1%

The market underrated this by 11.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

LDU de Quito badge

LDU de Quito

Attack64
Defence70
Form64
Leones del Norte badge

Leones del Norte

Attack38
Defence94
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model74.8%
The market91.7%
Edge
-16.9
Odds
1.09

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.3%Correct
Our model57.4%
The market46.1%
Edge
+11.3
Odds
2.17

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.9%Miss
Our model57.2%
The market48.3%
Edge
+8.9
Odds
2.07

Draw No Bet

LDU de Quito (DNB)

Correct
Our model53.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.8
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

LDU de Quito Win

Correct
Our model49.5%
The market60.6%
Edge
-11.1
Odds
1.65

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.9%
The market11.4%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.74

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.9%

1-1

10.7%

2-0

9.0%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.