Liga Pro badgeLiga Pro · 1 July 2026AI PICK

LDU de Quito badgeLDU de QuitovsOrense SC badgeOrense SC

3 - 0
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.0%
Market said
57.1%
Edge
+7.9 pts
Best odds
1.75

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75

MediumEdge +7.9%
Our model65.0%
The market57.1%

The market underrated this by 7.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

LDU de Quito badge

LDU de Quito

Attack46
Defence81
Form58
Orense SC badge

Orense SC

Attack62
Defence45
Form49

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.9%Close
Our model65.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+7.9
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.9%Miss
Our model54.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

LDU de Quito (DNB)

Correct
Our model47.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

LDU de Quito Win

Correct
Our model35.8%
The market61.7%
Edge
-25.9
Odds
1.62

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.8%
Our model13.7%
The market11.9%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
8.37

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

13.7%

1-0

11.9%

1-1

11.0%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.