LDU de Quitovs
Tecnico Universitario
2 - 1Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 74.9%
- Market said
- 57.1%
- Edge
- +17.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.75
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75
The market underrated this by 17.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +5.0
- Odds
- 1.25
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +17.8
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -0.8
- Odds
- 1.57
Match Winner
LDU de Quito Win
- Edge
- -2.9
- Odds
- 1.55
Draw No Bet
LDU de Quito (DNB)
- Edge
- -10.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +2.4
- Odds
- 6.25
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
18.4%
1-0
16.6%
0-0
16.3%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.