LDU Portoviejovs
22 de Julio
2 - 0Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 63.8%
- Market said
- 27.8%
- Edge
- +36.0 pts
- Best odds
- 3.60
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectLDU Portoviejo Win
Match Winner · best price 3.60
The market underrated this by 36.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
LDU Portoviejo
22 de Julio
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -4.3
- Odds
- 1.06
Draw No Bet
LDU Portoviejo (DNB)
- Edge
- +6.8
- Odds
- 1.23
Match Winner
LDU Portoviejo Win
- Edge
- +36.0
- Odds
- 3.60
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +2.3
- Odds
- 1.67
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -10.2
- Odds
- 1.66
Correct Score
Score: 0-0
- Edge
- -5.7
- Odds
- 2.30
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-0
37.8%
1-0
24.7%
0-1
10.0%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.