Serie A badgeSerie A · 31 August 2026AI PICK

Lecce badgeLeccevsAS Roma badgeAS Roma

0 - 4
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.2%
Market said
46.2%
Edge
+12.0 pts
Best odds
2.13

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.13

MediumEdge +12.0%
Our model58.2%
The market46.2%

The market underrated this by 12.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Lecce badge

Lecce

Attack65
Defence60
Form62
AS Roma badge

AS Roma

Attack97
Defence28
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model75.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
-5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.0%Correct
Our model58.2%
The market46.2%
Edge
+12.0
Odds
2.13

Draw No Bet

AS Roma (DNB)

Correct
Our model57.6%
The market84.0%
Edge
-26.4
Odds
1.19

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +9.9%Miss
Our model53.9%
The market44.0%
Edge
+9.9
Odds
2.21

Match Winner

AS Roma Win

Correct
Our model43.2%
The market66.2%
Edge
-23.0
Odds
1.51

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Close
Our model8.3%
The market9.6%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.44

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.3%

1-1

8.2%

2-2

7.1%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.