Premier League · 17 May 2026AI PICK
Leedsvs
Brighton
1 - 0Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.1%
- Market said
- 45.5%
- Edge
- +14.6 pts
- Best odds
- 2.20
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20
The market underrated this by 14.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Leeds
Brighton
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +14.6
- Odds
- 2.20
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -5.4
- Odds
- 1.57
Match Winner
Leeds Win
- Edge
- +25.5
- Odds
- 3.10
Draw No Bet
Leeds (DNB)
- Edge
- -6.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.4
- Odds
- 10.23
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
11.2% · actual
0-1
10.6%
1-1
10.4%
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.