Non League Premier - Northern badgeNon League Premier - Northern · 18 August 2026AI PICK

Leek Town badgeLeek TownvsAFC Emley badgeAFC Emley

1 - 2
Close

Full time · 0 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
48.8%
Edge
+9.6 pts
Best odds
2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.05

MediumEdge +9.6%
Our model58.4%
The market48.8%

The market underrated this by 9.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Leek Town badge

Leek Town

Attack39
Defence64
Form39
AFC Emley badge

AFC Emley

Attack31
Defence64
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Miss
Our model72.1%
The market82.0%
Edge
-9.9
Odds
1.22

Draw No Bet

Leek Town (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Miss
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.6%Close
Our model58.4%
The market48.8%
Edge
+9.6
Odds
2.05

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model53.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Leek Town Win

Miss
Our model42.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
-14.8
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model14.7%
The market16.9%
Edge
-2.2
Odds
5.90

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

14.7%

0-0

16.7%

1-1

14.9%

We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.