Segunda Liga badgeSegunda Liga · 6 September 2026AI PICK

Leixoes badgeLeixoesvsAmarante badgeAmarante

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
47.2%
Edge
+14.0 pts
Best odds
2.12

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.12

MediumEdge +14.0%
Our model61.2%
The market47.2%

The market underrated this by 14.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Leixoes badge

Leixoes

Attack100
Defence34
Form67
Amarante badge

Amarante

Attack23
Defence47
Form22

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.0%Correct
Our model61.2%
The market47.2%
Edge
+14.0
Odds
2.12

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model59.9%
The market82.6%
Edge
-22.7
Odds
1.21

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model55.2%
The market55.9%
Edge
-0.7
Odds
1.79

Draw No Bet

Leixoes (DNB)

Correct
Our model50.1%
The market68.0%
Edge
-17.9
Odds
1.47

Match Winner

Leixoes Win

Correct
Our model30.0%
The market53.2%
Edge
-23.2
Odds
1.88

Correct Score

Score: 2-0

Miss
Our model14.1%
The market16.2%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
6.18

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-0

14.1%

3-0

14.1%

4-0

10.5%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.