Segunda Liga badgeSegunda Liga · 25 April 2026AI PICK

Leixoes badgeLeixoesvsPortimonense badgePortimonense

2 - 0
Miss

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
56.7%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+1.1 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +1.1%
Our model56.7%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 1.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Leixoes badge

Leixoes

Attack57
Defence46
Form56
Portimonense badge

Portimonense

Attack46
Defence51
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.6%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market79.4%
Edge
+5.6
Odds
1.26

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.1%Miss
Our model56.7%
The market55.6%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

Leixoes (DNB)

Correct
Our model55.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Leixoes Win

Edge +4.1%Correct
Our model54.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
+4.1
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model52.0%
The market55.9%
Edge
-3.9
Odds
1.79

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.