Segunda Liga badgeSegunda Liga · 22 August 2026AI PICK

Leixoes badgeLeixoesvsUnião de Leiria badgeUnião de Leiria

2 - 4
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+7.1 pts
Best odds
1.88

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.88

MediumEdge +7.1%
Our model58.4%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 7.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Leixoes badge

Leixoes

Attack100
Defence33
Form72
União de Leiria badge

União de Leiria

Attack50
Defence36
Form20

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +11.6%Miss
Our model84.6%
The market73.0%
Edge
+11.6
Odds
1.37

Draw No Bet

Leixoes (DNB)

Edge +23.2%Miss
Our model78.4%
The market55.2%
Edge
+23.2
Odds
1.81

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.1%Correct
Our model58.4%
The market51.3%
Edge
+7.1
Odds
1.88

Match Winner

Leixoes Win

Edge +8.8%Miss
Our model56.0%
The market47.2%
Edge
+8.8
Odds
2.12

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.7%
The market56.9%
Edge
-4.2
Odds
1.69

Correct Score

Score: 3-0

Miss
Our model8.6%
The market9.9%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.15

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

3-0

8.6%

3-1

8.6%

2-0

7.8%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.