Lensvs
Nice
3 - 1Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 66.2%
- Market said
- 57.8%
- Edge
- +8.4 pts
- Best odds
- 1.73
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73
The market underrated this by 8.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Lens
Nice
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +1.7
- Odds
- 1.20
Draw No Bet
Lens (DNB)
- Edge
- +10.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +8.4
- Odds
- 1.73
Match Winner
Lens Win
- Edge
- +4.6
- Odds
- 1.67
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -1.8
- Odds
- 1.80
Correct Score
Score: 2-0
- Edge
- +1.3
- Odds
- 11.27
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.9%
We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.