Trophée des Champions badgeTrophée des Champions · 16 August 2026AI PICK

Lens badgeLensvsParis Saint Germain badgeParis Saint Germain

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.8%
Market said
56.4%
Edge
+1.4 pts
Best odds
1.73

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73

MediumEdge +1.4%
Our model57.8%
The market56.4%

The market underrated this by 1.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Lens badge

Lens

Attack78
Defence64
Form72
Paris Saint Germain badge

Paris Saint Germain

Attack33
Defence45
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +25.3%Correct
Our model75.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
+25.3
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Lens (DNB)

Edge +12.6%Correct
Our model69.7%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.6
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.4%Miss
Our model57.8%
The market56.4%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
1.73

Match Winner

Lens Win

Edge +33.5%Correct
Our model55.7%
The market22.2%
Edge
+33.5
Odds
4.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model52.8%
The market59.1%
Edge
-6.3
Odds
1.67

Correct Score

Score: 2-0

Close
Our model9.4%
The market10.8%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.25

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-0

9.4%

2-1

9.4%

1-1

8.2%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.