Ligue 1 badgeLigue 1 · 17 April 2026AI PICK

Lens badgeLensvsToulouse badgeToulouse

3 - 2
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
71.4%
Market said
59.9%
Edge
+11.5 pts
Best odds
1.67

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67

High confidenceEdge +11.5%
Our model71.4%
The market59.9%

The market underrated this by 11.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Lens badge

Lens

Attack85
Defence61
Form67
Toulouse badge

Toulouse

Attack44
Defence53
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.3%
Our model85.0%
The market84.7%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.18

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.5%Correct
Our model71.4%
The market59.9%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.67

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.0%Correct
Our model63.6%
The market55.6%
Edge
+8.0
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

Lens Win

Edge +13.0%Correct
Our model63.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
+13.0
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Lens (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Correct
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.