Serie D - Girone D badgeSerie D - Girone D · 17 May 2026AI PICK

Lentigione badgeLentigionevsPiacenza badgePiacenza

0 - 2
Close

Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
72.4%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+19.8 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

High confidenceEdge +19.8%
Our model72.4%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 19.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Lentigione badge

Lentigione

Attack78
Defence58
Form69
Piacenza badge

Piacenza

Attack77
Defence58
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +19.8%Close
Our model72.4%
The market52.6%
Edge
+19.8
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +13.9%Miss
Our model68.0%
The market54.1%
Edge
+13.9
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Lentigione (DNB)

Miss
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Lentigione Win

Miss
Our model47.0%
The market49.5%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
2.02

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.1%
The market7.0%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
14.28

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.1%

1-2

7.2%

2-2

7.2%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.