Serie D - Girone D badgeSerie D - Girone D · 10 May 2026AI PICK

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3 - 2
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.9%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+8.8 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +8.8%
Our model62.9%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 8.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Lentigione badge

Lentigione

Attack72
Defence67
Form69
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Pro Palazzolo

Attack60
Defence67
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.8%Correct
Our model62.9%
The market54.1%
Edge
+8.8
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +16.2%Correct
Our model61.7%
The market45.5%
Edge
+16.2
Odds
2.20

Draw No Bet

Lentigione (DNB)

Correct
Our model55.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Lentigione Win

Edge +0.9%Correct
Our model50.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
+0.9
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.2%
Our model9.2%
The market8.0%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
12.44

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.2%

1-0

8.9%

1-1

8.7%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.