Serie D - Girone D badgeSerie D - Girone D · 19 April 2026AI PICK

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1 - 2
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.7%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+12.7 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Lentigione Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +12.7%
Our model62.7%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 12.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Lentigione badge

Lentigione

Attack75
Defence87
Form76
Progresso badge

Progresso

Attack43
Defence46
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Match Winner

Lentigione Win

Edge +12.7%Miss
Our model62.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
+12.7
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Lentigione (DNB)

Edge +3.9%Miss
Our model61.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.6%Correct
Our model55.1%
The market41.5%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
2.41

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +10.6%Correct
Our model53.3%
The market42.7%
Edge
+10.6
Odds
2.34

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.