Leonvs
Atlas
2 - 3Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 81.4%
- Market said
- 51.3%
- Edge
- +30.1 pts
- Best odds
- 1.95
The call, locked before kick-off
MissLeon Win
Match Winner · best price 1.95
The market underrated this by 30.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Leon
Atlas
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 5 right
Draw No Bet
Leon (DNB)
- Edge
- +37.6
- Odds
- 1.75
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +10.0
- Odds
- 1.25
Match Winner
Leon Win
- Edge
- +30.1
- Odds
- 1.95
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +6.1
- Odds
- 1.95
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +4.1
- Odds
- 1.95
Correct Score
Score: 4-0
- Edge
- -1.7
- Odds
- 7.70
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
4-0
11.3%
3-0
10.3%
5-0
9.9%
We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.