Liga MX badgeLiga MX · 2 August 2026AI PICK

Leon badgeLeonvsCF Pachuca badgeCF Pachuca

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.5%
Market said
55.4%
Edge
+4.1 pts
Best odds
1.73

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73

MediumEdge +4.1%
Our model59.5%
The market55.4%

The market underrated this by 4.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Leon badge

Leon

Attack100
Defence29
Form40
CF Pachuca badge

CF Pachuca

Attack84
Defence70
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model74.8%
The market76.9%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.1%Miss
Our model59.5%
The market55.4%
Edge
+4.1
Odds
1.73

Draw No Bet

Leon (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model53.8%
The market60.9%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.62

Match Winner

Leon Win

Edge +9.1%Correct
Our model43.6%
The market34.5%
Edge
+9.1
Odds
2.90

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.