Liga MX badgeLiga MX · 22 August 2026AI PICK

Leon badgeLeonvsMonterrey badgeMonterrey

2 - 0
Close

Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.0%
Market said
59.2%
Edge
+0.8 pts
Best odds
1.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70

MediumEdge +0.8%
Our model60.0%
The market59.2%

The market underrated this by 0.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Leon badge

Leon

Attack73
Defence49
Form67
Monterrey badge

Monterrey

Attack77
Defence63
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +2.3%Correct
Our model80.4%
The market78.1%
Edge
+2.3
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.8%Close
Our model60.0%
The market59.2%
Edge
+0.8
Odds
1.70

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model54.2%
The market62.8%
Edge
-8.6
Odds
1.62

Draw No Bet

Monterrey (DNB)

Miss
Our model52.5%
The market56.2%
Edge
-3.7
Odds
1.78

Match Winner

Monterrey Win

Miss
Our model42.2%
The market45.0%
Edge
-2.8
Odds
2.22

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.