Liga Pro badgeLiga Pro · 3 May 2026AI PICK

Leones del Norte badgeLeones del NortevsEmelec badgeEmelec

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
78.3%
Market said
66.7%
Edge
+11.6 pts
Best odds
1.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.50

High confidenceEdge +11.6%
Our model78.3%
The market66.7%

The market underrated this by 11.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Leones del Norte badge

Leones del Norte

Attack37
Defence45
Form30
Emelec badge

Emelec

Attack41
Defence42
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.36

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.6%Correct
Our model78.3%
The market66.7%
Edge
+11.6
Odds
1.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +4.2%Correct
Our model64.1%
The market59.9%
Edge
+4.2
Odds
1.67

Draw No Bet

Leones del Norte (DNB)

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Leones del Norte Win

Correct
Our model46.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
-3.4
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.