Leones del Nortevs
Independiente del Valle
2 - 3Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.0%
- Market said
- 47.9%
- Edge
- +12.1 pts
- Best odds
- 1.95
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95
The market underrated this by 12.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Leones del Norte
Independiente del Valle
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- -11.6
- Odds
- 1.14
Draw No Bet
Independiente del Valle (DNB)
- Edge
- -7.2
- Odds
- 1.36
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +12.1
- Odds
- 1.95
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +4.3
- Odds
- 1.91
Match Winner
Independiente del Valle Win
- Edge
- -15.4
- Odds
- 1.60
Correct Score
Score: 1-3
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 10.82
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-3
8.0%
1-2
7.8%
1-4
6.2%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.