Liga Pro badgeLiga Pro · 22 August 2026AI PICK

Leones del Norte badgeLeones del NortevsIndependiente del Valle badgeIndependiente del Valle

2 - 3
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.0%
Market said
47.9%
Edge
+12.1 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +12.1%
Our model60.0%
The market47.9%

The market underrated this by 12.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Leones del Norte badge

Leones del Norte

Attack58
Defence55
Form56
Independiente del Valle badge

Independiente del Valle

Attack100
Defence69
Form93

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Correct
Our model76.1%
The market87.7%
Edge
-11.6
Odds
1.14

Draw No Bet

Independiente del Valle (DNB)

Correct
Our model66.3%
The market73.5%
Edge
-7.2
Odds
1.36

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.1%Correct
Our model60.0%
The market47.9%
Edge
+12.1
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.3%Correct
Our model54.2%
The market49.9%
Edge
+4.3
Odds
1.91

Match Winner

Independiente del Valle Win

Correct
Our model47.1%
The market62.5%
Edge
-15.4
Odds
1.60

Correct Score

Score: 1-3

Close
Our model8.0%
The market9.2%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.82

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-3

8.0%

1-2

7.8%

1-4

6.2%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.