Liga de Expansión MX · 16 August 2026AI PICK
Leones Negros UDGvs
CDS Tampico Madero
4 - 0Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.7%
- Market said
- 46.6%
- Edge
- +7.1 pts
- Best odds
- 2.06
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.06
The market underrated this by 7.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Leones Negros UDG
CDS Tampico Madero
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -6.0
- Odds
- 1.28
Draw No Bet
Leones Negros UDG (DNB)
- Edge
- +12.6
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +7.1
- Odds
- 2.06
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -0.2
- Odds
- 1.82
Match Winner
Leones Negros UDG Win
- Edge
- +3.3
- Odds
- 2.17
Correct Score
Score: 2-0
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 8.72
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-0
10.0%
1-1
11.9%
2-1
10.0%
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.