Liga de Expansión MX badgeLiga de Expansión MX · 7 August 2026AI PICK

Leones Negros UDG badgeLeones Negros UDGvsCorrecaminos Uat badgeCorrecaminos Uat

1 - 3
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.7%
Market said
57.8%
Edge
+2.9 pts
Best odds
1.73

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73

MediumEdge +2.9%
Our model60.7%
The market57.8%

The market underrated this by 2.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Leones Negros UDG badge

Leones Negros UDG

Attack77
Defence39
Form67
Correcaminos Uat badge

Correcaminos Uat

Attack87
Defence26
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.9%Correct
Our model60.7%
The market57.8%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
1.73

Draw No Bet

Correcaminos Uat (DNB)

Correct
Our model55.6%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.8%
The market54.1%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.85

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model53.6%
The market75.2%
Edge
-21.6
Odds
1.33

Match Winner

Correcaminos Uat Win

Edge +5.2%Correct
Our model33.8%
The market28.6%
Edge
+5.2
Odds
3.50

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.