Liga de Expansión MX · 30 August 2026AI PICK
Leones Negros UDGvs
Piratas
1 - 1Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.3%
- Market said
- 47.5%
- Edge
- +13.8 pts
- Best odds
- 2.03
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.03
The market underrated this by 13.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Leones Negros UDG
Piratas
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +16.2
- Odds
- 1.43
Draw No Bet
Leones Negros UDG (DNB)
- Edge
- +32.6
- Odds
- 2.06
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +13.8
- Odds
- 2.03
Match Winner
Leones Negros UDG Win
- Edge
- +21.1
- Odds
- 2.59
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -0.8
- Odds
- 1.78
Correct Score
Score: 2-0
- Edge
- -1.8
- Odds
- 7.32
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.5%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.