USL Championship · 22 August 2026AI PICK
Lexingtonvs
Las Vegas Lights
2 - 0Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 59.4%
- Market said
- 57.7%
- Edge
- +1.7 pts
- Best odds
- 1.70
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70
The market underrated this by 1.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Lexington
Las Vegas Lights
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -12.1
- Odds
- 1.13
Draw No Bet
Lexington (DNB)
- Edge
- -4.8
- Odds
- 1.38
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +1.7
- Odds
- 1.70
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -3.8
- Odds
- 1.80
Match Winner
Lexington Win
- Edge
- -13.1
- Odds
- 1.60
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 8.85
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-0
8.2% · actual
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.