USL Championship · 1 August 2026AI PICK
Lexingtonvs
Monterey Bay
3 - 2Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.4%
- Market said
- 56.2%
- Edge
- +1.2 pts
- Best odds
- 1.73
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73
The market underrated this by 1.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Lexington
Monterey Bay
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -14.5
- Odds
- 1.12
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +1.2
- Odds
- 1.73
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +2.4
- Odds
- 1.80
Draw No Bet
Lexington (DNB)
- Edge
- -3.8
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Lexington Win
- Edge
- -15.0
- Odds
- 1.55
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.56
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.