USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 8 August 2026AI PICK

Lexington badgeLexingtonvsPhoenix Rising badgePhoenix Rising

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.4%
Market said
53.8%
Edge
+3.6 pts
Best odds
1.86

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Lexington Win

Match Winner · best price 1.86

MediumEdge +3.6%
Our model57.4%
The market53.8%

The market underrated this by 3.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Lexington badge

Lexington

Attack75
Defence45
Form59
Phoenix Rising badge

Phoenix Rising

Attack39
Defence41
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model73.5%
The market82.0%
Edge
-8.5
Odds
1.22

Draw No Bet

Lexington (DNB)

Edge +12.9%Correct
Our model70.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Lexington Win

Edge +3.6%Correct
Our model57.4%
The market53.8%
Edge
+3.6
Odds
1.86

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model56.5%
The market59.1%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.64

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model54.6%
The market61.4%
Edge
-6.8
Odds
1.57

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.8%
The market11.3%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.87

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.8%

1-1

9.6%

2-0

8.9%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.