Division Profesional - Apertura badgeDivision Profesional - Apertura · 14 May 2026AI PICK

Libertad Asuncion badgeLibertad Asuncionvs2 de Mayo badge2 de Mayo

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 0 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.5%
Market said
52.9%
Edge
+4.6 pts
Best odds
1.89

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.89

MediumEdge +4.6%
Our model57.5%
The market52.9%

The market underrated this by 4.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Libertad Asuncion badge

Libertad Asuncion

Attack60
Defence40
Form42
2 de Mayo badge

2 de Mayo

Attack44
Defence39
Form45

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.6%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market79.4%
Edge
+5.6
Odds
1.26

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.6%Miss
Our model57.5%
The market52.9%
Edge
+4.6
Odds
1.89

Draw No Bet

Libertad Asuncion (DNB)

Void
Our model57.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Libertad Asuncion Win

Miss
Our model56.0%
The market57.8%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
1.73

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.5%Miss
Our model50.5%
The market49.0%
Edge
+1.5
Odds
2.04

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.6%
Our model12.5%
The market10.9%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
9.18

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

12.5%

1-1

10.1%

2-1

9.5%

We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.